Mon 21 May 2007
Most Recent Question:
Q: One of your first blog posts is a link to a blog post on the “Attention Economy.” You describe it as “punk,” you are obviously interested in these ideas about a changing economy.
It’s interesting, because you are building a career on old media. You write novels, you have a contract with one of the names in publishing, and they print them on real paper and sell them on the web and at large chain stores. How do you get people to go to Amazon and Barnes & Nobles and buy them? It’s the old approach, yes? As you read this punk economics, are you getting a feel for how a story teller makes money in this changing environment that includes falling book sales?
A: Well, now that’s several questions. Lemme see what I can do.
First off, I think the idea of an attention economy isn’t separate from the old advertising question of how to get the most eyes on the ad, but it is a different perspective on the question. For as long as there has been mass media, there has been a competition for people’s attention. What’s new is the ferocity of that competition and the amount of entertainment available.
As we move into a world in which entertainment media are ubiquitous, what I’m doing — the old school gig of writing words on paper — becomes a niche market. It appeals to people who like non-interactive, long-attention-span entertainments that require a lot of work from their imaginations. The good news is that those qualities sound like a turn-off in an information age, *but* they’re also the things that make an entertainment experience stick. If you spend a lot of time with something, you remember it better. *And* if you put a lot of mental energy into something, you remember it better. Interactivity is the only one that may not be true for, though in my experience, the interactive things I’ve done (computer games, for instance) aren’t as memorable for me as books I’ve read. There may be a trade off between the flexibility of interactivity with the control of non-interactive structure. I haven’t really thought that through.
Anyway, what I was getting at is that it’s a niche with a fairly high activation energy (which sucks for me) and excellent sustainability (which rocks). So it’s a pretty big niche. And in fact there’s a real question about whether book sales actually are falling. Your friends and mine at that source of all things plausible, the wikipedia shows 172,000 titles published in the US in 2005. As compared to 68,000 in 1996.
Getting people to buy books — whether at Amazon or B&N or in stores — is a mystery. Everyone has an answer, and most of them are different. Some are probably mutually exclusive. The most recent and thoroughly informal poll among my circle of acquaintance shows that the biggest influence of folks buying books are knowing the authors previous work (see my comments about stickiness), recommendations from friends, and reading about it on a blog or website.
So how does a storyteller survive in this climate? My guess is two things:
1) Social networking — conventions, interviews on blogs or more traditional media, answering fan mail, setting up a website, etc. etc. etc. Being available and having as many friends and friendly acquaintances as you can manage. I’m looking at doing podcast interviews of New Mexico authors, not because it would make me any money, but just because it would be nifty. I’m going to be toastmaster at the 2008 Bubonicon. All of those things should help sales, assuming I don’t alienate a bunch of folks by being a jerk. Patrick Nielsen Hayden of Tor and Making Light told me he thought the next phase of publishing was going to be very hard on the reclusive author who can’t deal with people.
2) Write better books. Nothing is going to win word-of-mouth like writing good books. And that’s about as old school an opinion as you’ll get.
Got a question? Ask me.
July 7th, 2007 at 11:36 am
Social networking is really a big one (so is writing good books, of course). I think PNH is right about what the future holds for artists. They’re going to have to become more public figures, in most cases.
July 9th, 2007 at 3:09 am
I just hope we can deal with people electronically. Either that, or that I can find a day job that’s very forgiving about time off for book tours.
July 10th, 2007 at 4:46 pm
Recommendation, via informal word-of-mouth, or professional review is key. Any new business or product has a bootstrap problem. How do you get enough early adopters, enough first readers, to get the word-of-mouth going?
If your analysis is correct, an author at the beginning of their career has the bootstrap problem in spades. Because a book takes an investment of time and effort, reading a book by an author you’ve never read before is a gamble. You are more likely to read another book by an author you’ve already read and enjoyed. As you point out, once you’ve gotten them to read, then its sticky. You are now one of the authors they’ve read before. That bootstrap problem is everything. Well, after you’ve written a good book
Here’s a counter-intuitive idea I’ve been contemplating. In this world of connectivity and global markets, what if a new author concentrated on a regional push? What if you make yourself well-known at every bookstore in the radius of at least a few hours drive? From owner or manager to shelvers. You can lodge at home and you have a car, so how many “events” could you pull off? How many workshops, even if small scale? Could you get friends to act out a scene from your book in a store or a busy park? What kind of relationship could you cultivate with the library system? Do you know someone who can get you an in to any of these places? How about books on the bus for people to read while riding?
It’s a lot of work, but you could do a lot more of it if you weren’ traveling and you were focusing on home turf. And if you know a fair number of folks in Denver, maybe you can replicate it there, on a smaller scale.
The question being, using the network you already have and the efficiency of working close to home, could you build that critical mass of recommenders?
All speculation.
July 12th, 2007 at 11:11 am
Daniel, you’ve hit upon the very question that keeps me awake at night. With less than a month to go before my book hits the shelves I’m increasingly worried about connecting with readers because I’m not (1) a rock star; (2) a salesman; or (3) a millionaire.
My editor David Hartwell told me the best way to sell books is to be seen in public having a good time. I do my best and go to as many cons as I can. I’m looking forward to Bubonicon in a little over a month.
July 12th, 2007 at 5:55 pm
Hot topic. Matt himself posted about it.
http://feedback.matthewjarpe.com/2007/02/20/selfpromotion-for-the-extreme-introvert-or-my-adventures-at-boskone.aspx
Scalzi links to and comments on none other than a post on the topic by Walter John Williams.
http://walterjonwilliams.blogspot.com/2007/07/dude-wheres-my-tail_03.html#4439961801849389085
http://ficlets.com/blog/entry/i_know_i_left_my_long_tail_around_here_somewhere
May 22nd, 2008 at 10:46 am
I think that this whole debates changes with your genera. Stickiness holds more weight with Sci-Fi and Fantasy. The voice of the author speaks to you in a more intimate way .
With other genera, it is easy to pick up several books on the same subject by different authors because it seems you are just taking on different perspectives. This just does not work with sci-fi/fantasy, the worlds are too complex and do not overlap.
Marketing yourself becomes completely different. Sci-fi/fantasy is not likely discussed on NPR or Oprah, whose book subjects change with the wind. Sci-fi/fantasy has hard core fans following Cons, radio-programs such as Slice of Sci-Fi, internet sites, and magazines. Think Twin Peaks, Babylon, and Serenity fans VS Seinfeld or Punk VS Pop music. Your trade does not appeal to everyone, but for those it does will follow your work passionately.
Daniel, the radio program is a fine idea. Have you talked to XM-radio? How about a podcast?
April 5th, 2009 at 12:56 am
I’m closing in on 40 and live outside of the US. Yet I love magazines, newspapers and books. Perhaps I’m a dying breed but nothing pleases me more than sitting outside with a drink, a cigar and the reading material of my choice for the day.
Many folks today do believe that the paper way of publishing is yesterdays fishwrap. If one lives in an electronic world that may be true. With my job I change countries every 2 years or so and not all of them have the electronic infrastructure one is used to in developed nations. Therefore there is nothing I love more than the local newspaper and my subscriptions from home no matter how late they are.
My point albeit longwinded is that one should never stop submitting to a paper magazine. I would have never been here were it not for the story published in “F&SF” which completed spoke to me. I love my books, magazines and newspapers and probably will never be won over by online reading.
August 17th, 2009 at 8:51 am
I would like a book list of all the books that you have wrote in this name and any other writing name your have used. Thanks
Julia Matthews
October 8th, 2009 at 3:37 pm
Hey,
I just bought the second Black Sun’s Daughter. It was so good I sat up until 5 am to finish reading it. I was wondering when the third book would be released? ^_^
Thanks for writing great books!!!!
December 29th, 2009 at 2:47 am
Just wanted to let you know how thoroughly I enjoyed the Black Sun’s Daughter Series. I hope there will be more to come. They are a perfect balance of all that make a book fun to read. Also, the endings make the reader beg for more, so please indulge, or post your intentions on the matter.
Thank you for your time,
Charlene
June 18th, 2010 at 8:06 am
Dear Daniel,
I wanna know that Idaan is younger or elder than Otah. Tell me plz.
Thanks so much!
Lin Tianyi
June 18th, 2010 at 8:54 am
Lin: She’s about a year and a half younger than Otah.